← Matchups

Southern

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -19.5 · #373
Our numberJKST -16.1 no book has priced this game

Jackson State

· 2-0 · power -6.7 · #259
Our side
MoneylineJKST to win ours 81%
Projected score 22–39 SOU – JKST
2026-09-26 · kickoff TBD Mississippi Veterans Memorial Stadium · Jackson, MS Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Jackson State lead 13–9 · 22 meetings since 1977
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Jackson State Tigers 82 ranks
Southern Jaguars #113 rush offense Jackson State Tigers #31 run defense
Pass game edge Jackson State Tigers 178 ranks
Southern Jaguars #219 pass offense Jackson State Tigers #41 pass defense
Run game edge Jackson State Tigers 192 ranks
Jackson State Tigers #10 rush offense Southern Jaguars #202 run defense
Pass game edge Jackson State Tigers 107 ranks
Jackson State Tigers #75 pass offense Southern Jaguars #182 pass defense
Southern Jaguars Run-heavy · 65% run Ball-control Jackson State Tigers Run-heavy · 65% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Southern Jaguars
DB Tay James 8 tkl · 1 INT #79 DB
DL Ckelby Givens 6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #119 DL
RB Trey Holly 141 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec #184 RB
DB Ty Lee 9 tkl · 1 PD #525 DB
Jackson State Tigers
K Andrew Ivaniciuc 5 FG · 8 XP · 23 pts #32 K
RB Nate Blount IV 168 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec #125 RB
WR Jabari Jones 7 rec · 173 yds · 1 TD #198 WR
WR Nate Rembert 7 rec · 188 yds #325 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Southern Jaguars -19.5 -8.4 -11.1 #373
Jackson State Tigers -6.7 +0.0 -6.8 #259

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Southern offense vs Jackson State defense-1.6 pts
Jackson State offense vs Southern defense+11.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.