← Matchups

Mississippi Valley State

· 1-2 · power -27.0 · #391
Our numberJKST -23.8 no book has priced this game

Jackson State

· 2-0 · power -6.7 · #259
Our side
MoneylineJKST to win ours 93%
Projected score 18–42 MVSU – JKST
2026-11-07 · 3:00 PM Mississippi Veterans Memorial Stadium · Jackson, MS Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Jackson State lead 19–1 · 20 meetings since 1977
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Jackson State Tigers 230 ranks
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #261 rush offense Jackson State Tigers #31 run defense
Pass game edge Jackson State Tigers 195 ranks
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #236 pass offense Jackson State Tigers #41 pass defense
Run game edge Jackson State Tigers 195 ranks
Jackson State Tigers #10 rush offense Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #205 run defense
Pass game edge Jackson State Tigers 181 ranks
Jackson State Tigers #75 pass offense Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #256 pass defense
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Balanced · 45% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg Jackson State Tigers Run-heavy · 65% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
DB Tyrell Johnson 6 tkl · 1 INT #81 DB
LB Douglas Franklin 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #146 LB
TE Jaylen King 12 rec · 85 yds · 1 TD #53 TE
DB Jamari Stokes 11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #322 DB
Jackson State Tigers
K Andrew Ivaniciuc 5 FG · 8 XP · 23 pts #32 K
RB Nate Blount IV 168 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec #125 RB
WR Jabari Jones 7 rec · 173 yds · 1 TD #198 WR
WR Nate Rembert 7 rec · 188 yds #325 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils -27.0 -13.7 -13.2 #391
Jackson State Tigers -6.7 +0.0 -6.8 #259

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Mississippi Valley State offense vs Jackson State defense-7.0 pts
Jackson State offense vs Mississippi Valley State defense+13.3 pts
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.