Our side
MoneylinePV to win
ours 11%
Projected score
38–18
PV – MVSU
2026-10-03 · 3:00 PM
Rice-Totten Stadium · Itta Bena, MS
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Prairie View A&M lead
13–3
· 16 meetings since 1977
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
147 ranks
Prairie View A&M Panthers #58 rush offense
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #205 run defense
Pass game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
203 ranks
Prairie View A&M Panthers #53 pass offense
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #256 pass defense
Run game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
219 ranks
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #261 rush offense
Prairie View A&M Panthers #42 run defense
Pass game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
217 ranks
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #236 pass offense
Prairie View A&M Panthers #19 pass defense
Prairie View A&M Panthers
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 42 rush ypg
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Balanced · 45% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Prairie View A&M Panthers
DB
Kamrin Canterbury
27 tkl · 2 PD
#36 DB
DB
Malachi Williams
11 tkl · 1 INT
#102 DB
DB
Nahamani Harris
21 tkl · 2 PD
#123 DB
DL
Malik Gucake
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#154 DL
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
DB
Tyrell Johnson
6 tkl · 1 INT
#81 DB
LB
Douglas Franklin
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#146 LB
TE
Jaylen King
12 rec · 85 yds · 1 TD
#53 TE
DB
Jamari Stokes
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#322 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Prairie View A&M offense vs Mississippi Valley State defense+11.3 pts
Mississippi Valley State offense vs Prairie View A&M defense-10.5 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.1 pts
Power projection before adjustment-19.6
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 407 mi
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.