Our side
MoneylinePV to win
ours 86%
Projected score
20–38
SOU – PV
2026-10-10 · 3:00 PM
Panther Stadium · Prairie View, TX
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Southern lead
10–8
· 18 meetings since 1977
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
71 ranks
Southern Jaguars #113 rush offense
Prairie View A&M Panthers #42 run defense
Pass game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
200 ranks
Southern Jaguars #219 pass offense
Prairie View A&M Panthers #19 pass defense
Run game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
144 ranks
Prairie View A&M Panthers #58 rush offense
Southern Jaguars #202 run defense
Pass game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
129 ranks
Prairie View A&M Panthers #53 pass offense
Southern Jaguars #182 pass defense
Southern Jaguars
Run-heavy · 65% run
Ball-control
Prairie View A&M Panthers
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 42 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Southern Jaguars
DB
Tay James
8 tkl · 1 INT
#79 DB
DL
Ckelby Givens
6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#119 DL
RB
Trey Holly
141 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec
#184 RB
DB
Ty Lee
9 tkl · 1 PD
#525 DB
Prairie View A&M Panthers
DB
Kamrin Canterbury
27 tkl · 2 PD
#36 DB
DB
Malachi Williams
11 tkl · 1 INT
#102 DB
DB
Nahamani Harris
21 tkl · 2 PD
#123 DB
DL
Malik Gucake
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#154 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Southern offense vs Prairie View A&M defense-5.1 pts
Prairie View A&M offense vs Southern defense+9.2 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.2 pts
Power projection before adjustment+17.6
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).