Our side
MoneylinePV to win
ours 48%
Projected score
29–28
PV – ETAM
2026-10-24 · 7:00 PM
Memorial Stadium (Commerce, TX) · Commerce, TX
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Prairie View A&M and East Texas A&M split 2 (1–1)
· 2 meetings since 1977
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
138 ranks
Prairie View A&M Panthers #58 rush offense
East Texas A&M Lions #196 run defense
Pass game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
175 ranks
Prairie View A&M Panthers #53 pass offense
East Texas A&M Lions #228 pass defense
Run game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
124 ranks
East Texas A&M Lions #166 rush offense
Prairie View A&M Panthers #42 run defense
Pass game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
218 ranks
East Texas A&M Lions #237 pass offense
Prairie View A&M Panthers #19 pass defense
Prairie View A&M Panthers
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 42 rush ypg
East Texas A&M Lions
Balanced · 50% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Prairie View A&M Panthers
DB
Kamrin Canterbury
27 tkl · 2 PD
#36 DB
DB
Malachi Williams
11 tkl · 1 INT
#102 DB
DB
Nahamani Harris
21 tkl · 2 PD
#123 DB
DL
Malik Gucake
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#154 DL
East Texas A&M Lions
DB
Tramar Gilbert
23 tkl · 1 PD
#39 DB
WR
Micah Simpson
17 rec · 311 yds · 2 TD
#29 WR
DL
Duncan Parham
12 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#86 DL
DB
Jamari Mosley
11 tkl · 2 PD
#220 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Prairie View A&M offense vs East Texas A&M defense+2.6 pts
East Texas A&M offense vs Prairie View A&M defense-2.3 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+1.2 pts
Power projection before adjustment-2.1
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).