Final
RICH 28 · HOW 21
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineRICH to win logged
ours 45%
Our number: RICH by 6.4 — RICH to win.
Projected score
28–25
RICH – HOW
2026-09-05 · 6:00 PM
Greene Stadium · Washington, DC
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Richmond lead
3–0
· 3 meetings since 2017
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Howard Bison
83 ranks
Richmond Spiders #183 rush offense
Howard Bison #100 run defense
Pass game
even
23 ranks apart
Richmond Spiders #141 pass offense
Howard Bison #118 pass defense
Run game
even
38 ranks apart
Howard Bison #150 rush offense
Richmond Spiders #188 run defense
Pass game
edge Richmond Spiders
230 ranks
Howard Bison #246 pass offense
Richmond Spiders #16 pass defense
Richmond Spiders
Run-heavy · 62% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Howard Bison
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Richmond Spiders
DL
Camden Byrd
7 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#32 DL
LB
Blake Houser
26 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#44 LB
DL
Daniel Sellers
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#88 DL
RB
Aziz Foster-Powell
141 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec
#68 RB
Howard Bison
LB
Rodney Roane
16 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#56 LB
DB
Ben Chandler IV
11 tkl · 4 PD
#164 DB
LB
Aidan Foster
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#105 LB
DB
Kaleb Gallop
21 tkl
#199 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Richmond offense vs Howard defense-0.5 pts
Howard offense vs Richmond defense-5.5 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.