BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

Northwestern State

· 0-3 (0-1) · power -27.1 · #392
Our numberLT -39.3 no book has priced this game

Louisiana Tech

CUSA · 1-1 · power +3.9 · #134
Final NWST 6 · LT 80 ML W Spread L Total L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineLT to win logged ours 99%

Our number: LT by 41.9 — LT to win.

Projected score 12–51 NWST – LT
2026-09-05 · 7:30 PM Joe Aillet Stadium · Ruston, LA Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book NWST spreadLT spread OverUnder NWST winLT win NWST TT overNWST TT under LT TT overLT TT under
DraftKings — — — — — —
FanDuel — — — — — —
BetMGM — — — — — —
ESPN Bet — — — — — —
Caesars — — — — — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread NWST 99% bets · 88% money total Over 56% bets · 87% money
Series Louisiana Tech lead 9–2 · 11 meetings since 1975
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 213 ranks
Northwestern State Demons #259 rush offense Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #46 run defense
Pass game edge Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 209 ranks
Northwestern State Demons #265 pass offense Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #56 pass defense
Run game edge Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 159 ranks
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #106 rush offense Northwestern State Demons #265 run defense
Pass game edge Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 84 ranks
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #178 pass offense Northwestern State Demons #262 pass defense
Northwestern State Demons Run-heavy · 63% run Ball-control Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Run-heavy · 67% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 32 rush ypg
Sonny Cumbie · 21-34 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Northwestern State Demons
DL Geoffrey Ojeh 7 tkl · 1.0 TFL #296 DL
DB Joe Natali 14 tkl #481 DB
LB Danny Sears 14 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL #370 LB
DB Diego Sanchez 9 tkl · 1 PD #676 DB
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
LB Alonzo Jackson Jr. 16 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL #2 LB
DB Jordan McRae 12 tkl · 1 INT #15 DB
WR Jalen Mickens 9 rec · 234 yds · 2 TD #41 WR
DB Sam Fongang 15 tkl #141 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Northwestern State Demons -27.1 -9.6 -17.4 #392
Louisiana Tech BulldogsCUSA +3.9 +4.1 -0.2 #134

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Northwestern State offense vs Louisiana Tech defense-9.4 pts
Louisiana Tech offense vs Northwestern State defense+21.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.