Our side
MoneylineMCN to win
ours 69%
Projected score
22–31
ETAM – MCN
2026-09-26 · 7:00 PM
Navarre Stadium · Lake Charles, LA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
McNeese and East Texas A&M split 4 (2–2)
· 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge East Texas A&M Lions
75 ranks
East Texas A&M Lions #166 rush offense
McNeese Cowboys #241 run defense
Pass game
edge McNeese Cowboys
160 ranks
East Texas A&M Lions #237 pass offense
McNeese Cowboys #77 pass defense
Run game
edge McNeese Cowboys
114 ranks
McNeese Cowboys #82 rush offense
East Texas A&M Lions #196 run defense
Pass game
even
22 ranks apart
McNeese Cowboys #206 pass offense
East Texas A&M Lions #228 pass defense
East Texas A&M Lions
Balanced · 50% run
Ball-control
McNeese Cowboys
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 43 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
East Texas A&M Lions
DB
Tramar Gilbert
23 tkl · 1 PD
#39 DB
WR
Micah Simpson
17 rec · 311 yds · 2 TD
#29 WR
DL
Duncan Parham
12 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#86 DL
DB
Jamari Mosley
11 tkl · 2 PD
#220 DB
McNeese Cowboys
DL
RJ Staten
11 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#53 DL
WR
Elisha Edwards
16 rec · 240 yds · 3 TD
#32 WR
RB
Omiri Wiggins
217 rush yds · 2 TD · 9 rec
#25 RB
WR
Curtis Deville
12 rec · 213 yds · 3 TD
#54 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
East Texas A&M offense vs McNeese defense-5.8 pts
McNeese offense vs East Texas A&M defense+1.0 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.7 pts
Power projection before adjustment+9.9
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).