← Matchups

McNeese

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -3.1 · #219
Our numberUIW -6.1 no book has priced this game

Incarnate Word

· 1-1 · power +0.1 · #174
Our side
MoneylineUIW to win ours 65%
Projected score 26–32 MCN – UIW
2026-10-24 · 5:00 PM Gayle and Tom Benson Stadium · San Antonio, TX Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Incarnate Word lead 6–5 · 11 meetings since 2014
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 31 ranks apart
McNeese Cowboys #82 rush offense Incarnate Word Cardinals #51 run defense
Pass game even 37 ranks apart
McNeese Cowboys #206 pass offense Incarnate Word Cardinals #169 pass defense
Run game edge Incarnate Word Cardinals 81 ranks
Incarnate Word Cardinals #160 rush offense McNeese Cowboys #241 run defense
Pass game edge McNeese Cowboys 95 ranks
Incarnate Word Cardinals #172 pass offense McNeese Cowboys #77 pass defense
McNeese Cowboys Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 43 rush ypg Incarnate Word Cardinals Balanced · 52% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
McNeese Cowboys
DL RJ Staten 11 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL #53 DL
WR Elisha Edwards 16 rec · 240 yds · 3 TD #32 WR
RB Omiri Wiggins 217 rush yds · 2 TD · 9 rec #25 RB
WR Curtis Deville 12 rec · 213 yds · 3 TD #54 WR
Incarnate Word Cardinals
DL Jeremiah Young 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #28 DL
RB Lontrell Turner 153 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec #60 RB
LB Christian Barney 18 tkl · 1.0 TFL #103 LB
WR Isaiah Champagne 12 rec · 141 yds · 1 TD #159 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
McNeese Cowboys -3.1 -3.4 +0.3 #219
Incarnate Word Cardinals +0.1 +3.7 -3.7 #174

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
McNeese offense vs Incarnate Word defense+0.2 pts
Incarnate Word offense vs McNeese defense+3.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.