BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

Lamar

· 2-1 · power -2.1 · #202
Our numberUL -23.8 no book has priced this game

Louisiana

SBC · 1-1 · power +10.2 · #81
Final LAM 7 · UL 38 ML W Spread L Total L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineUL to win logged ours 91%

Our number: UL by 15.6 — UL to win.

Projected score 14–38 LAM – UL
2026-09-05 · 8:00 PM Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium · Lafayette, LA Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book LAM spreadUL spread OverUnder LAM winUL win LAM TT overLAM TT under UL TT overUL TT under
DraftKings — — — —
FanDuel — — — —
BetMGM — — — —
ESPN Bet — — — —
Caesars — — — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured 8 days ago spread UL 58% bets · 59% money total Under 60% bets · 71% money ML UL 99% bets · 59% money
Series Louisiana lead 9–4 · 13 meetings since 1973
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 2 ranks apart
Lamar Cardinals #228 rush offense Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #230 run defense
Pass game edge Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 74 ranks
Lamar Cardinals #225 pass offense Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #151 pass defense
Run game even 44 ranks apart
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #81 rush offense Lamar Cardinals #37 run defense
Pass game edge Lamar Cardinals 180 ranks
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #213 pass offense Lamar Cardinals #33 pass defense
Lamar Cardinals Run-heavy · 61% run Ball-control Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Run-heavy · 62% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 57 rush ypg
Michael Desormeaux · 29-25

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Lamar Cardinals
DB Mar Mar Evans 16 tkl · 4 PD #54 DB
TE Davin Driskell 10 rec · 99 yds · 3 TD #12 TE
DB Lanar Kelley 11 tkl · 1 INT #86 DB
DB Bryce McDonald 17 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #146 DB
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
DB Brent Gordon Jr. 11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #72 DB
DB Avery Demery 8 tkl · 1 INT #188 DB
DB Collin Jacob 17 tkl #211 DB
TE Caden Jensen 5 rec · 77 yds #59 TE

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Lamar Cardinals -2.1 -8.1 +6.0 #202
Louisiana Ragin' CajunsSBC +10.2 +8.1 +2.1 #81

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Lamar offense vs Louisiana defense-10.2 pts
Louisiana offense vs Lamar defense+2.1 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.