← Matchups

Incarnate Word

· 1-1 · power +0.1 · #174
Our numberLAM -0.6 no book has priced this game

Lamar

· 2-1 · power -2.1 · #202
Our side
MoneylineLAM to win ours 51%
Projected score 26–27 UIW – LAM
2026-10-10 · 4:00 PM Provost Umphrey Stadium · Beaumont, TX Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Incarnate Word lead 8–4 · 12 meetings since 2011
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Lamar Cardinals 123 ranks
Incarnate Word Cardinals #160 rush offense Lamar Cardinals #37 run defense
Pass game edge Lamar Cardinals 139 ranks
Incarnate Word Cardinals #172 pass offense Lamar Cardinals #33 pass defense
Run game edge Incarnate Word Cardinals 177 ranks
Lamar Cardinals #228 rush offense Incarnate Word Cardinals #51 run defense
Pass game edge Incarnate Word Cardinals 56 ranks
Lamar Cardinals #225 pass offense Incarnate Word Cardinals #169 pass defense
Incarnate Word Cardinals Balanced · 52% run Avg pace Lamar Cardinals Run-heavy · 61% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Incarnate Word Cardinals
DL Jeremiah Young 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #28 DL
RB Lontrell Turner 153 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec #60 RB
LB Christian Barney 18 tkl · 1.0 TFL #103 LB
WR Isaiah Champagne 12 rec · 141 yds · 1 TD #159 WR
Lamar Cardinals
DB Mar Mar Evans 16 tkl · 4 PD #54 DB
TE Davin Driskell 10 rec · 99 yds · 3 TD #12 TE
DB Lanar Kelley 11 tkl · 1 INT #86 DB
DB Bryce McDonald 17 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #146 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Incarnate Word Cardinals +0.1 +3.7 -3.7 #174
Lamar Cardinals -2.1 -8.1 +6.0 #202

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Incarnate Word offense vs Lamar defense-2.2 pts
Lamar offense vs Incarnate Word defense-4.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.