Our side
MoneylineUIW to win
ours 32%
Projected score
34–26
UIW – ETAM
2026-11-21 · 4:00 PM
Memorial Stadium (Commerce, TX) · Commerce, TX
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Incarnate Word lead
3–1
· 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
36 ranks apart
Incarnate Word Cardinals #160 rush offense
East Texas A&M Lions #196 run defense
Pass game
edge Incarnate Word Cardinals
56 ranks
Incarnate Word Cardinals #172 pass offense
East Texas A&M Lions #228 pass defense
Run game
edge Incarnate Word Cardinals
115 ranks
East Texas A&M Lions #166 rush offense
Incarnate Word Cardinals #51 run defense
Pass game
edge Incarnate Word Cardinals
68 ranks
East Texas A&M Lions #237 pass offense
Incarnate Word Cardinals #169 pass defense
Incarnate Word Cardinals
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
East Texas A&M Lions
Balanced · 50% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Incarnate Word Cardinals
DL
Jeremiah Young
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#28 DL
RB
Lontrell Turner
153 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#60 RB
LB
Christian Barney
18 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#103 LB
WR
Isaiah Champagne
12 rec · 141 yds · 1 TD
#159 WR
East Texas A&M Lions
DB
Tramar Gilbert
23 tkl · 1 PD
#39 DB
WR
Micah Simpson
17 rec · 311 yds · 2 TD
#29 WR
DL
Duncan Parham
12 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#86 DL
DB
Jamari Mosley
11 tkl · 2 PD
#220 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Incarnate Word offense vs East Texas A&M defense+8.2 pts
East Texas A&M offense vs Incarnate Word defense-1.8 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.