Our side
MoneylineNICH to win
ours 31%
Projected score
32–24
NICH – HCU
2026-10-03 · 7:00 PM
Husky Stadium (TX) · Houston, TX
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Nicholls lead
10–2
· 12 meetings since 2014
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
26 ranks apart
Nicholls Colonels #198 rush offense
Houston Christian Huskies #172 run defense
Pass game
edge Houston Christian Huskies
124 ranks
Nicholls Colonels #212 pass offense
Houston Christian Huskies #88 pass defense
Run game
edge Houston Christian Huskies
47 ranks
Houston Christian Huskies #202 rush offense
Nicholls Colonels #249 run defense
Pass game
edge Nicholls Colonels
199 ranks
Houston Christian Huskies #261 pass offense
Nicholls Colonels #62 pass defense
Nicholls Colonels
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
Houston Christian Huskies
Balanced · 55% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Nicholls Colonels
DB
Skylar Husband
20 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#71 DB
DL
Alex Villavaso
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#102 DL
LB
Kennon Loftin
24 tkl
#96 LB
WR
Jackson Dufrene
6 rec · 105 yds · 3 TD
#101 WR
Houston Christian Huskies
LB
Jayven Anderson
21 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 7.0 TFL
#25 LB
P
Julian Maceri
5 punts · 45.2 yd avg
#9 P
DL
Calvin Kalu-Alexander
6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#351 DL
DB
Darius Bean
17 tkl · 1 PD
#341 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Nicholls offense vs Houston Christian defense+5.6 pts
Houston Christian offense vs Nicholls defense-6.0 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.9 pts
Power projection before adjustment-9.1
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).