← Matchups

Mercyhurst

· 0-3 · power -16.3 · #357

Our numberDUQ -6.3 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Duquesne

· 0-2 · power -13.0 · #329

Our side

MoneylineDUQ to win ours 65%

Projected score 25–31 MERC – DUQ

2026-11-14 · 12:00 PM Arthur J. Rooney Athletic Field · Pittsburgh, PA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Duquesne lead 2–0 · 2 meetings since 2024

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game edge Duquesne Dukes ~~62 ranks~~

Mercyhurst Lakers #220 rush offense Duquesne Dukes #158 run defense

Pass game edge Duquesne Dukes ~~101 ranks~~

Mercyhurst Lakers #190 pass offense Duquesne Dukes #89 pass defense

Run game edge Duquesne Dukes ~~122 ranks~~

Duquesne Dukes #90 rush offense Mercyhurst Lakers #212 run defense

Pass game even ~~22 ranks apart~~

Duquesne Dukes #121 pass offense Mercyhurst Lakers #143 pass defense

Mercyhurst Lakers Balanced · 47% run Ball-control Duquesne Dukes Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Mercyhurst Lakers

DL Zacchaeus Dixon 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #135 DL

DB Braylon Beckwith 21 tkl #182 DB

TE Camden Lewis 10 rec · 83 yds · 1 TD #44 TE

P Thomas O'Neill 19 punts · 43.3 yd avg #24 P

Duquesne Dukes

DL Nico Pate 10 tkl #337 DL

DB Caleb Jones 12 tkl · 1 PD #379 DB

LB Luke Miller 15 tkl #349 LB

LB Zach Chambers 14 tkl #405 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Mercyhurst Lakers	-16.3	-8.4	-7.9	#357
Duquesne Dukes	-13.0	-6.2	-6.8	#329

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Mercyhurst offense vs Duquesne defense-1.6 pts

Duquesne offense vs Mercyhurst defense+1.7 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.