Our side
MoneylineARMY to win
ours 33%
Projected score
26–22
ARMY – LT
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD
Joe Aillet Stadium · Ruston, LA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Army lead
3–0
· 3 meetings since 2008
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
40 ranks apart
Army Black Knights #86 rush offense
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #46 run defense
Pass game
even
31 ranks apart
Army Black Knights #25 pass offense
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #56 pass defense
Run game
edge Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
53 ranks
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #106 rush offense
Army Black Knights #159 run defense
Pass game
even
12 ranks apart
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #178 pass offense
Army Black Knights #166 pass defense
Army Black Knights
Run-heavy · 87% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 98 rush ypg
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Run-heavy · 67% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 32 rush ypg
Jeff Monken · 85-55
Sonny Cumbie · 21-34 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Army Black Knights
RB
Godspower Nwawuihe
147 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec
#52 RB
LB
Elijah Walton
15 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#124 LB
QB
Cale Hellums
150 pass yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
#78 QB
WR
Zach Mundell
3 rec · 47 yds · 1 TD
#288 WR
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
LB
Alonzo Jackson Jr.
16 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL
#2 LB
DB
Jordan McRae
12 tkl · 1 INT
#15 DB
WR
Jalen Mickens
9 rec · 234 yds · 2 TD
#41 WR
DB
Sam Fongang
15 tkl
#141 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Army offense vs Louisiana Tech defense+4.5 pts
Louisiana Tech offense vs Army defense-4.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,196 mi
Rest · context onlyHome team on 6 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.