Our side
MoneylineAPP to win
ours 50%
Projected score
26–28
ODU – APP
2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD
Kidd Brewer Stadium · Boone, NC
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
App State lead
4–2
· 6 meetings since 2015
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Old Dominion Monarchs
45 ranks
Old Dominion Monarchs #73 rush offense
App State Mountaineers #118 run defense
Pass game
edge Old Dominion Monarchs
128 ranks
Old Dominion Monarchs #47 pass offense
App State Mountaineers #175 pass defense
Run game
edge Old Dominion Monarchs
119 ranks
App State Mountaineers #144 rush offense
Old Dominion Monarchs #25 run defense
Pass game
edge Old Dominion Monarchs
190 ranks
App State Mountaineers #203 pass offense
Old Dominion Monarchs #13 pass defense
Old Dominion Monarchs
Run-heavy · 61% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 84 rush ypg
App State Mountaineers
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
Ricky Rahne · 30-33
Dowell Loggains · 5-8
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Old Dominion Monarchs
DL
Javen Gibson
7 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#66 DL
DB
Lucas Struck
11 tkl · 3 PD
#92 DB
LB
Mario Thompson
19 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#79 LB
QB
Quinn Henicle
324 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
#46 QB
App State Mountaineers
DL
Caleb Sandstrom
5 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#52 DL
TE
Darrin Fugitt
11 rec · 113 yds · 1 TD
#17 TE
WR
Sam Pickett III
9 rec · 162 yds · 2 TD
#88 WR
K
James London
4 FG · 9 XP · 21 pts
#27 K
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Old Dominion offense vs App State defense-1.4 pts
App State offense vs Old Dominion defense-3.2 pts
Altitude · context only988 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.