Our side
MoneylineGASO to win
ours 51%
Projected score
26–26
APP – GASO
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD
Allen E. Paulson Stadium · Statesboro, GA
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
App State lead
14–10
· 24 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge App State Mountaineers
111 ranks
App State Mountaineers #144 rush offense
Georgia Southern Eagles #255 run defense
Pass game
even
3 ranks apart
App State Mountaineers #203 pass offense
Georgia Southern Eagles #206 pass defense
Run game
even
17 ranks apart
Georgia Southern Eagles #101 rush offense
App State Mountaineers #118 run defense
Pass game
edge Georgia Southern Eagles
65 ranks
Georgia Southern Eagles #110 pass offense
App State Mountaineers #175 pass defense
App State Mountaineers
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
Georgia Southern Eagles
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Dowell Loggains · 5-8
Clay Helton · 72-49 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
App State Mountaineers
DL
Caleb Sandstrom
5 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#52 DL
TE
Darrin Fugitt
11 rec · 113 yds · 1 TD
#17 TE
WR
Sam Pickett III
9 rec · 162 yds · 2 TD
#88 WR
K
James London
4 FG · 9 XP · 21 pts
#27 K
Georgia Southern Eagles
WR
Ashton Hollins
13 rec · 203 yds · 2 TD
#26 WR
LB
Rashon Myles Jr.
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#83 LB
DB
Chance Gamble
8 tkl · 2 PD
#179 DB
DL
Elijah Fears
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#325 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
App State offense vs Georgia Southern defense+0.2 pts
Georgia Southern offense vs App State defense-1.2 pts
Altitude · context only930 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.