Our side
MoneylineARST to win
ours 63%
Projected score
22–32
KENN – ARST
2026-09-26 · 7:00 PM
Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Kennesaw State lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2025
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
33 ranks apart
Kennesaw State Owls #151 rush offense
Arkansas State Red Wolves #184 run defense
Pass game
edge Kennesaw State Owls
118 ranks
Kennesaw State Owls #62 pass offense
Arkansas State Red Wolves #180 pass defense
Run game
even
24 ranks apart
Arkansas State Red Wolves #235 rush offense
Kennesaw State Owls #211 run defense
Pass game
even
37 ranks apart
Arkansas State Red Wolves #148 pass offense
Kennesaw State Owls #111 pass defense
Kennesaw State Owls
Run-heavy · 59% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Arkansas State Red Wolves
Balanced · 46% run
Up-tempo
Dual-threat QB · 36 rush ypg
Jerry Mack · 10-4
Butch Jones · 48-51
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Kennesaw State Owls
QB
Rickie Collins
416 pass yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
#50 QB
DL
Ugonna Nwoha
3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#315 DL
DL
Marcus Patterson
9 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#450 DL
RB
Latrelle Murrell
100 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec
#183 RB
Arkansas State Red Wolves
RB
Kenyon Clay
99 rush yds · 2 TD · 4 rec
#33 RB
DB
Five Hamilton
8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#78 DB
LB
Robert Stevens
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#50 LB
DL
Elias Sherman
13 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#93 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Kennesaw State offense vs Arkansas State defense-1.6 pts
Arkansas State offense vs Kennesaw State defense+2.5 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.