Our side
MoneylineCCU to win
ours 54%
Projected score
28–28
ARST – CCU
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD
Brooks Stadium (SC) · Conway, SC
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Coastal Carolina and Arkansas State split 6 (3–3)
· 6 meetings since 2017
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
26 ranks apart
Arkansas State Red Wolves #235 rush offense
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers #209 run defense
Pass game
edge Arkansas State Red Wolves
47 ranks
Arkansas State Red Wolves #148 pass offense
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers #195 pass defense
Run game
edge Arkansas State Red Wolves
45 ranks
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers #229 rush offense
Arkansas State Red Wolves #184 run defense
Pass game
even
41 ranks apart
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers #221 pass offense
Arkansas State Red Wolves #180 pass defense
Arkansas State Red Wolves
Balanced · 46% run
Up-tempo
Dual-threat QB · 36 rush ypg
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Butch Jones · 48-51
Tim Beck · 20-18
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Arkansas State Red Wolves
RB
Kenyon Clay
99 rush yds · 2 TD · 4 rec
#33 RB
DB
Five Hamilton
8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#78 DB
LB
Robert Stevens
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#50 LB
DL
Elias Sherman
13 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#93 DL
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
WR
Clayton Coppock Jr.
6 rec · 109 yds · 3 TD
#97 WR
WR
Colton Hinton
6 rec · 154 yds · 2 TD
#123 WR
DL
Ibrahim Diawara
8 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#241 DL
QB
Deuce Bailey
576 pass yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
#58 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Arkansas State offense vs Coastal Carolina defense+3.8 pts
Coastal Carolina offense vs Arkansas State defense+3.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 676 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.