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Coastal Carolina

SBC · 1-1 · power +3.9 · #133
Our numberUL -12.7 no book has priced this game

Louisiana

SBC · 1-1 · power +10.2 · #81
Our side
MoneylineUL to win ours 69%
Projected score 22–35 CCU – UL
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium · Lafayette, LA SBC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Louisiana and Coastal Carolina split 4 (2–2) · 4 meetings since 2018
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 1 ranks apart
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers #229 rush offense Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #230 run defense
Pass game edge Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 70 ranks
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers #221 pass offense Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #151 pass defense
Run game edge Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 128 ranks
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #81 rush offense Coastal Carolina Chanticleers #209 run defense
Pass game even 18 ranks apart
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #213 pass offense Coastal Carolina Chanticleers #195 pass defense
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Run-heavy · 62% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 57 rush ypg
Tim Beck · 20-18 Michael Desormeaux · 29-25

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
WR Clayton Coppock Jr. 6 rec · 109 yds · 3 TD #97 WR
WR Colton Hinton 6 rec · 154 yds · 2 TD #123 WR
DL Ibrahim Diawara 8 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #241 DL
QB Deuce Bailey 576 pass yds · 6 TD · 0 INT #58 QB
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
DB Brent Gordon Jr. 11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #72 DB
DB Avery Demery 8 tkl · 1 INT #188 DB
DB Collin Jacob 17 tkl #211 DB
TE Caden Jensen 5 rec · 77 yds #59 TE

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Coastal Carolina ChanticleersSBC +3.9 +3.6 +0.3 #133
Louisiana Ragin' CajunsSBC +10.2 +8.1 +2.1 #81

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Coastal Carolina offense vs Louisiana defense+1.6 pts
Louisiana offense vs Coastal Carolina defense+7.8 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 802 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.