← Matchups

James Madison

SBC · 2-0 · power +14.1 · #59
Our numberJMU -7.9 no book has priced this game

Georgia Southern

SBC · 1-1 · power +6.1 · #112
Our side
MoneylineJMU to win ours 35%
Projected score 30–22 JMU – GASO
2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD Allen E. Paulson Stadium · Statesboro, GA SBC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series James Madison and Georgia Southern split 4 (2–2) · 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge James Madison Dukes 219 ranks
James Madison Dukes #36 rush offense Georgia Southern Eagles #255 run defense
Pass game edge James Madison Dukes 121 ranks
James Madison Dukes #85 pass offense Georgia Southern Eagles #206 pass defense
Run game edge James Madison Dukes 80 ranks
Georgia Southern Eagles #101 rush offense James Madison Dukes #21 run defense
Pass game edge James Madison Dukes 85 ranks
Georgia Southern Eagles #110 pass offense James Madison Dukes #25 pass defense
James Madison Dukes Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 42 rush ypg Georgia Southern Eagles Balanced · 51% run Avg pace
Bob Chesney · 21-6 Clay Helton · 72-49 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
James Madison Dukes
K Morgan Suarez 3 FG · 14 XP · 23 pts #20 K
RB George Pettaway 99 rush yds · 4 TD #76 RB
DB Ken Willis 14 tkl #273 DB
RB Nick Herman 135 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec #160 RB
Georgia Southern Eagles
WR Ashton Hollins 13 rec · 203 yds · 2 TD #26 WR
LB Rashon Myles Jr. 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #83 LB
DB Chance Gamble 8 tkl · 2 PD #179 DB
DL Elijah Fears 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #325 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
James Madison DukesSBC +14.1 +10.4 +3.8 #59
Georgia Southern EaglesSBC +6.1 +1.4 +4.7 #112

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
James Madison offense vs Georgia Southern defense+5.7 pts
Georgia Southern offense vs James Madison defense-2.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 447 mi
Altitude · context only335 m lower than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.