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Georgia Southern

SBC · 1-1 · power +6.1 · #112
Our numberODU -8.2 no book has priced this game

Old Dominion

SBC · 1-1 · power +9.3 · #90
Our side
MoneylineODU to win ours 62%
Projected score 22–31 GASO – ODU
2026-10-15 · 7:30 PM S.B. Ballard Stadium · Norfolk, VA SBC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Old Dominion lead 3–2 · 5 meetings since 2011
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Old Dominion Monarchs 76 ranks
Georgia Southern Eagles #101 rush offense Old Dominion Monarchs #25 run defense
Pass game edge Old Dominion Monarchs 97 ranks
Georgia Southern Eagles #110 pass offense Old Dominion Monarchs #13 pass defense
Run game edge Old Dominion Monarchs 182 ranks
Old Dominion Monarchs #73 rush offense Georgia Southern Eagles #255 run defense
Pass game edge Old Dominion Monarchs 159 ranks
Old Dominion Monarchs #47 pass offense Georgia Southern Eagles #206 pass defense
Georgia Southern Eagles Balanced · 51% run Avg pace Old Dominion Monarchs Run-heavy · 61% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 84 rush ypg
Clay Helton · 72-49 · offense-minded Ricky Rahne · 30-33

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Georgia Southern Eagles
WR Ashton Hollins 13 rec · 203 yds · 2 TD #26 WR
LB Rashon Myles Jr. 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #83 LB
DB Chance Gamble 8 tkl · 2 PD #179 DB
DL Elijah Fears 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #325 DL
Old Dominion Monarchs
DL Javen Gibson 7 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #66 DL
DB Lucas Struck 11 tkl · 3 PD #92 DB
LB Mario Thompson 19 tkl · 1.0 TFL #79 LB
QB Quinn Henicle 324 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT #46 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Georgia Southern EaglesSBC +6.1 +1.4 +4.7 #112
Old Dominion MonarchsSBC +9.3 +1.2 +8.0 #90

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Georgia Southern offense vs Old Dominion defense-6.6 pts
Old Dominion offense vs Georgia Southern defense-3.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 439 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.