Our side
MoneylineGASO to win
ours 57%
Projected score
27–26
MRSH – GASO
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD
Allen E. Paulson Stadium · Statesboro, GA
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Marshall and Georgia Southern split 4 (2–2)
· 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Marshall Thundering Herd
83 ranks
Marshall Thundering Herd #172 rush offense
Georgia Southern Eagles #255 run defense
Pass game
edge Marshall Thundering Herd
145 ranks
Marshall Thundering Herd #61 pass offense
Georgia Southern Eagles #206 pass defense
Run game
even
32 ranks apart
Georgia Southern Eagles #101 rush offense
Marshall Thundering Herd #69 run defense
Pass game
even
40 ranks apart
Georgia Southern Eagles #110 pass offense
Marshall Thundering Herd #150 pass defense
Marshall Thundering Herd
Run-heavy · 62% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 60 rush ypg
Georgia Southern Eagles
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Tony Gibson · 5-7
Clay Helton · 72-49 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Marshall Thundering Herd
DB
Caleb Clark-Glover
20 tkl · 2 PD
#50 DB
DL
Kelvon McBride
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#91 DL
TE
Toby Payne
9 rec · 61 yds
#49 TE
DL
Nate Blanc
2 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#323 DL
Georgia Southern Eagles
WR
Ashton Hollins
13 rec · 203 yds · 2 TD
#26 WR
LB
Rashon Myles Jr.
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#83 LB
DB
Chance Gamble
8 tkl · 2 PD
#179 DB
DL
Elijah Fears
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#325 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Marshall offense vs Georgia Southern defense-0.8 pts
Georgia Southern offense vs Marshall defense+0.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 417 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.