Our side
MoneylineGASO to win
ours 45%
Projected score
25–27
GASO – GAST
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD
Center Parc Stadium · Atlanta, GA
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Georgia Southern and Georgia State split 12 (6–6)
· 12 meetings since 2014
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Georgia Southern Eagles
136 ranks
Georgia Southern Eagles #101 rush offense
Georgia State Panthers #237 run defense
Pass game
edge Georgia Southern Eagles
129 ranks
Georgia Southern Eagles #110 pass offense
Georgia State Panthers #239 pass defense
Run game
edge Georgia State Panthers
97 ranks
Georgia State Panthers #158 rush offense
Georgia Southern Eagles #255 run defense
Pass game
edge Georgia State Panthers
68 ranks
Georgia State Panthers #138 pass offense
Georgia Southern Eagles #206 pass defense
Georgia Southern Eagles
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Georgia State Panthers
Balanced · 50% run
Avg pace
Clay Helton · 72-49 · offense-minded
Dell McGee · 4-20 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Georgia Southern Eagles
WR
Ashton Hollins
13 rec · 203 yds · 2 TD
#26 WR
LB
Rashon Myles Jr.
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#83 LB
DB
Chance Gamble
8 tkl · 2 PD
#179 DB
DL
Elijah Fears
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#325 DL
Georgia State Panthers
QB
Cameran Brown
443 pass yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
#48 QB
RB
Dennis Murray Jr.
75 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#101 RB
LB
Xavier Esqillion
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#156 LB
DL
Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson
6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#281 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Georgia Southern offense vs Georgia State defense+2.2 pts
Georgia State offense vs Georgia Southern defense-1.9 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.