Our side
MoneylineGASO to win
ours 46%
Projected score
25–25
GASO – TROY
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) · Troy, AL
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Troy lead
5–4
· 9 meetings since 2014
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
8 ranks apart
Georgia Southern Eagles #101 rush offense
Troy Trojans #109 run defense
Pass game
edge Troy Trojans
46 ranks
Georgia Southern Eagles #110 pass offense
Troy Trojans #64 pass defense
Run game
even
29 ranks apart
Troy Trojans #226 rush offense
Georgia Southern Eagles #255 run defense
Pass game
even
19 ranks apart
Troy Trojans #187 pass offense
Georgia Southern Eagles #206 pass defense
Georgia Southern Eagles
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Troy Trojans
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Clay Helton · 72-49 · offense-minded
Gerad Parker · 12-20 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Georgia Southern Eagles
WR
Ashton Hollins
13 rec · 203 yds · 2 TD
#26 WR
LB
Rashon Myles Jr.
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#83 LB
DB
Chance Gamble
8 tkl · 2 PD
#179 DB
DL
Elijah Fears
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#325 DL
Troy Trojans
DL
Keno Jones
13 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#22 DL
DB
Donnie Smith
9 tkl · 1 PD
#63 DB
WR
TK Keyes
7 rec · 167 yds · 2 TD
#109 WR
RB
Jaheim Merriweather
149 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#79 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Georgia Southern offense vs Troy defense-2.4 pts
Troy offense vs Georgia Southern defense-6.0 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.