Our side
MoneylineJMU to win
ours 80%
Projected score
19–32
GAST – JMU
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD
Bridgeforth Stadium · Harrisonburg, VA
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
James Madison lead
5–0
· 5 meetings since 2012
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge James Madison Dukes
137 ranks
Georgia State Panthers #158 rush offense
James Madison Dukes #21 run defense
Pass game
edge James Madison Dukes
113 ranks
Georgia State Panthers #138 pass offense
James Madison Dukes #25 pass defense
Run game
edge James Madison Dukes
201 ranks
James Madison Dukes #36 rush offense
Georgia State Panthers #237 run defense
Pass game
edge James Madison Dukes
154 ranks
James Madison Dukes #85 pass offense
Georgia State Panthers #239 pass defense
Georgia State Panthers
Balanced · 50% run
Avg pace
James Madison Dukes
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 42 rush ypg
Dell McGee · 4-20 · offense-minded
Bob Chesney · 21-6
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Georgia State Panthers
QB
Cameran Brown
443 pass yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
#48 QB
RB
Dennis Murray Jr.
75 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#101 RB
LB
Xavier Esqillion
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#156 LB
DL
Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson
6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#281 DL
James Madison Dukes
K
Morgan Suarez
3 FG · 14 XP · 23 pts
#20 K
RB
George Pettaway
99 rush yds · 4 TD
#76 RB
DB
Ken Willis
14 tkl
#273 DB
RB
Nick Herman
135 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec
#160 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Georgia State offense vs James Madison defense-1.0 pts
James Madison offense vs Georgia State defense+11.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 447 mi
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.