Our side
MoneylineMRSH to win
ours 62%
Projected score
24–30
GAST – MRSH
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD
Joan C. Edwards Stadium · Huntington, WV
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Marshall lead
3–1
· 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Marshall Thundering Herd
89 ranks
Georgia State Panthers #158 rush offense
Marshall Thundering Herd #69 run defense
Pass game
even
12 ranks apart
Georgia State Panthers #138 pass offense
Marshall Thundering Herd #150 pass defense
Run game
edge Marshall Thundering Herd
65 ranks
Marshall Thundering Herd #172 rush offense
Georgia State Panthers #237 run defense
Pass game
edge Marshall Thundering Herd
178 ranks
Marshall Thundering Herd #61 pass offense
Georgia State Panthers #239 pass defense
Georgia State Panthers
Balanced · 50% run
Avg pace
Marshall Thundering Herd
Run-heavy · 62% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 60 rush ypg
Dell McGee · 4-20 · offense-minded
Tony Gibson · 5-7
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Georgia State Panthers
QB
Cameran Brown
443 pass yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
#48 QB
RB
Dennis Murray Jr.
75 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#101 RB
LB
Xavier Esqillion
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#156 LB
DL
Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson
6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#281 DL
Marshall Thundering Herd
DB
Caleb Clark-Glover
20 tkl · 2 PD
#50 DB
DL
Kelvon McBride
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#91 DL
TE
Toby Payne
9 rec · 61 yds
#49 TE
DL
Nate Blanc
2 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#323 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Georgia State offense vs Marshall defense+1.4 pts
Marshall offense vs Georgia State defense+4.6 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.