Our side
MoneylineUL to win
ours 35%
Projected score
30–24
UL – GAST
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD
Center Parc Stadium · Atlanta, GA
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Louisiana lead
6–1
· 7 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
156 ranks
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #81 rush offense
Georgia State Panthers #237 run defense
Pass game
even
26 ranks apart
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #213 pass offense
Georgia State Panthers #239 pass defense
Run game
edge Georgia State Panthers
72 ranks
Georgia State Panthers #158 rush offense
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #230 run defense
Pass game
even
13 ranks apart
Georgia State Panthers #138 pass offense
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #151 pass defense
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Run-heavy · 62% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 57 rush ypg
Georgia State Panthers
Balanced · 50% run
Avg pace
Michael Desormeaux · 29-25
Dell McGee · 4-20 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
DB
Brent Gordon Jr.
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#72 DB
DB
Avery Demery
8 tkl · 1 INT
#188 DB
DB
Collin Jacob
17 tkl
#211 DB
TE
Caden Jensen
5 rec · 77 yds
#59 TE
Georgia State Panthers
QB
Cameran Brown
443 pass yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
#48 QB
RB
Dennis Murray Jr.
75 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#101 RB
LB
Xavier Esqillion
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#156 LB
DL
Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson
6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#281 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Louisiana offense vs Georgia State defense+8.8 pts
Georgia State offense vs Louisiana defense+0.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 510 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.