Our side
MoneylineJMU to win
ours 43%
Projected score
27–26
JMU – ODU
2026-09-26 · kickoff TBD
S.B. Ballard Stadium · Norfolk, VA
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
James Madison lead
4–2
· 6 meetings since 2011
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
11 ranks apart
James Madison Dukes #36 rush offense
Old Dominion Monarchs #25 run defense
Pass game
edge Old Dominion Monarchs
72 ranks
James Madison Dukes #85 pass offense
Old Dominion Monarchs #13 pass defense
Run game
edge James Madison Dukes
52 ranks
Old Dominion Monarchs #73 rush offense
James Madison Dukes #21 run defense
Pass game
even
22 ranks apart
Old Dominion Monarchs #47 pass offense
James Madison Dukes #25 pass defense
James Madison Dukes
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 42 rush ypg
Old Dominion Monarchs
Run-heavy · 61% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 84 rush ypg
Bob Chesney · 21-6
Ricky Rahne · 30-33
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
James Madison Dukes
K
Morgan Suarez
3 FG · 14 XP · 23 pts
#20 K
RB
George Pettaway
99 rush yds · 4 TD
#76 RB
DB
Ken Willis
14 tkl
#273 DB
RB
Nick Herman
135 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec
#160 RB
Old Dominion Monarchs
DL
Javen Gibson
7 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#66 DL
DB
Lucas Struck
11 tkl · 3 PD
#92 DB
LB
Mario Thompson
19 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#79 LB
QB
Quinn Henicle
324 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
#46 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
James Madison offense vs Old Dominion defense+2.3 pts
Old Dominion offense vs James Madison defense-2.5 pts
Altitude · context only394 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.