Our side
MoneylineJMU to win
ours 75%
Projected score
24–30
MRSH – JMU
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD
Bridgeforth Stadium · Harrisonburg, VA
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
James Madison and Marshall split 4 (2–2)
· 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge James Madison Dukes
151 ranks
Marshall Thundering Herd #172 rush offense
James Madison Dukes #21 run defense
Pass game
even
36 ranks apart
Marshall Thundering Herd #61 pass offense
James Madison Dukes #25 pass defense
Run game
even
33 ranks apart
James Madison Dukes #36 rush offense
Marshall Thundering Herd #69 run defense
Pass game
edge James Madison Dukes
65 ranks
James Madison Dukes #85 pass offense
Marshall Thundering Herd #150 pass defense
Marshall Thundering Herd
Run-heavy · 62% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 60 rush ypg
James Madison Dukes
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 42 rush ypg
Tony Gibson · 5-7
Bob Chesney · 21-6
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Marshall Thundering Herd
DB
Caleb Clark-Glover
20 tkl · 2 PD
#50 DB
DL
Kelvon McBride
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#91 DL
TE
Toby Payne
9 rec · 61 yds
#49 TE
DL
Nate Blanc
2 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#323 DL
James Madison Dukes
K
Morgan Suarez
3 FG · 14 XP · 23 pts
#20 K
RB
George Pettaway
99 rush yds · 4 TD
#76 RB
DB
Ken Willis
14 tkl
#273 DB
RB
Nick Herman
135 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec
#160 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Marshall offense vs James Madison defense+0.1 pts
James Madison offense vs Marshall defense+9.0 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.