Our side
MoneylineJMU to win
ours 30%
Projected score
29–24
JMU – USM
2026-11-05 · 8:00 PM
M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg, MS
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
James Madison lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2024
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge James Madison Dukes
144 ranks
James Madison Dukes #36 rush offense
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #180 run defense
Pass game
edge Southern Miss Golden Eagles
49 ranks
James Madison Dukes #85 pass offense
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #36 pass defense
Run game
edge James Madison Dukes
116 ranks
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #137 rush offense
James Madison Dukes #21 run defense
Pass game
edge James Madison Dukes
66 ranks
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #91 pass offense
James Madison Dukes #25 pass defense
James Madison Dukes
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 42 rush ypg
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Bob Chesney · 21-6
Charles Huff · 39-25
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
James Madison Dukes
K
Morgan Suarez
3 FG · 14 XP · 23 pts
#20 K
RB
George Pettaway
99 rush yds · 4 TD
#76 RB
DB
Ken Willis
14 tkl
#273 DB
RB
Nick Herman
135 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec
#160 RB
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
RB
Steven Robinson
174 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#37 RB
DB
Kobi Albert
7 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
#87 DB
DB
Laquan Robinson
17 tkl · 1 PD
#192 DB
LB
Mathis Haygood
15 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#133 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
James Madison offense vs Southern Miss defense+8.5 pts
Southern Miss offense vs James Madison defense-2.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 769 mi
Altitude · context only332 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.