Our side
MoneylineUL to win
ours 61%
Projected score
25–29
USA – UL
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD
Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium · Lafayette, LA
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Louisiana lead
10–4
· 14 meetings since 2012
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge South Alabama Jaguars
138 ranks
South Alabama Jaguars #92 rush offense
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #230 run defense
Pass game
even
24 ranks apart
South Alabama Jaguars #127 pass offense
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #151 pass defense
Run game
edge Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
135 ranks
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #81 rush offense
South Alabama Jaguars #216 run defense
Pass game
even
3 ranks apart
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #213 pass offense
South Alabama Jaguars #216 pass defense
South Alabama Jaguars
Run-heavy · 64% run
Avg pace
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Run-heavy · 62% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 57 rush ypg
Major Applewhite · 26-25 · offense-minded
Michael Desormeaux · 29-25
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
South Alabama Jaguars
WR
Brendan Jenkins
14 rec · 197 yds · 2 TD
#25 WR
RB
PJ Martin
142 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec
#59 RB
QB
Bishop Davenport
450 pass yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
#34 QB
K
Davis Little
4 FG · 7 XP · 19 pts
#39 K
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
DB
Brent Gordon Jr.
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#72 DB
DB
Avery Demery
8 tkl · 1 INT
#188 DB
DB
Collin Jacob
17 tkl
#211 DB
TE
Caden Jensen
5 rec · 77 yds
#59 TE
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
South Alabama offense vs Louisiana defense+3.5 pts
Louisiana offense vs South Alabama defense+6.2 pts
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.