← Matchups

Louisiana

SBC · 1-1 · power +10.2 · #81
Our numberUL -15.8 no book has priced this game

UL Monroe

SBC · 0-2 · power -4.2 · #234
Our side
MoneylineUL to win ours 22%
Projected score 35–19 UL – ULM
2026-11-12 · 9:00 PM Malone Stadium · Monroe, LA SBC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Louisiana lead 25–16 · 41 meetings since 1976
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 38 ranks apart
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #81 rush offense UL Monroe Warhawks #119 run defense
Pass game even 14 ranks apart
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #213 pass offense UL Monroe Warhawks #199 pass defense
Run game even 26 ranks apart
UL Monroe Warhawks #204 rush offense Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #230 run defense
Pass game even 14 ranks apart
UL Monroe Warhawks #137 pass offense Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns #151 pass defense
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Run-heavy · 62% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 57 rush ypg UL Monroe Warhawks Run-heavy · 61% run Ball-control
Michael Desormeaux · 29-25 Bryant Vincent · 15-22

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
DB Brent Gordon Jr. 11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #72 DB
DB Avery Demery 8 tkl · 1 INT #188 DB
DB Collin Jacob 17 tkl #211 DB
TE Caden Jensen 5 rec · 77 yds #59 TE
UL Monroe Warhawks
DB Jabari Tiller 18 tkl · 1 PD #116 DB
DB Carl Fauntroy 12 tkl · 1 INT #119 DB
LB Noah Flemmings 20 tkl · 0.5 TFL #137 LB
DL Kevontay Wells 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #438 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Louisiana Ragin' CajunsSBC +10.2 +8.1 +2.1 #81
UL Monroe WarhawksSBC -4.2 -3.9 -0.4 #234

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Louisiana offense vs UL Monroe defense+8.4 pts
UL Monroe offense vs Louisiana defense-5.9 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.