Our side
MoneylineJXST to win
ours 42%
Projected score
33–24
JXST – WKU
2026-11-14 · 3:30 PM
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · Bowling Green, KY
CUSA game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Jacksonville State lead
3–1
· 4 meetings since 2023
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Jacksonville State Gamecocks
73 ranks
Jacksonville State Gamecocks #48 rush offense
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers #121 run defense
Pass game
edge Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
80 ranks
Jacksonville State Gamecocks #156 pass offense
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers #76 pass defense
Run game
even
39 ranks apart
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers #145 rush offense
Jacksonville State Gamecocks #106 run defense
Pass game
even
26 ranks apart
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers #135 pass offense
Jacksonville State Gamecocks #109 pass defense
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Run-heavy · 68% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 83 rush ypg
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
Charles Kelly · 9-5
Tyson Helton · 57-36
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
DB
Caleb Nix
18 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#18 DB
DL
Tae Floyd
12 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL
#41 DL
WR
Jamill Williams
14 rec · 188 yds · 4 TD
#33 WR
QB
Caden Creel
677 pass yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
#18 QB
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
RB
Ajay Allen
121 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#106 RB
DB
Justin Brown
9 tkl · 1 INT
#319 DB
TE
Coleson Arends
2 rec · 18 yds · 1 TD
#92 TE
DB
Jaylen Lewis
13 tkl
#491 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Jacksonville State offense vs Western Kentucky defense+7.7 pts
Western Kentucky offense vs Jacksonville State defense+2.4 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.