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Kennesaw State

CUSA · 1-1 · power +0.2 · #170
Our numberSHSU -0.4 no book has priced this game

Sam Houston

CUSA · 0-2 · power -5.4 · #248
Our side
MoneylineKENN to win ours 41%
Projected score 25–26 KENN – SHSU
2026-11-14 · 2:00 PM Elliott T. Bowers Stadium · Huntsville, TX CUSA game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Sam Houston lead 3–0 · 3 meetings since 2017
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Kennesaw State Owls 56 ranks
Kennesaw State Owls #151 rush offense Sam Houston Bearkats #207 run defense
Pass game edge Kennesaw State Owls 178 ranks
Kennesaw State Owls #62 pass offense Sam Houston Bearkats #240 pass defense
Run game edge Sam Houston Bearkats 59 ranks
Sam Houston Bearkats #152 rush offense Kennesaw State Owls #211 run defense
Pass game edge Kennesaw State Owls 148 ranks
Sam Houston Bearkats #259 pass offense Kennesaw State Owls #111 pass defense
Kennesaw State Owls Run-heavy · 59% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg Sam Houston Bearkats Balanced · 50% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 39 rush ypg
Jerry Mack · 10-4 Phil Longo · 2-10

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Kennesaw State Owls
QB Rickie Collins 416 pass yds · 2 TD · 1 INT #50 QB
DL Ugonna Nwoha 3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #315 DL
DL Marcus Patterson 9 tkl · 1.5 TFL #450 DL
RB Latrelle Murrell 100 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec #183 RB
Sam Houston Bearkats
DL Brody Henderson 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #94 DL
WR Chris Reed 7 rec · 145 yds · 2 TD #94 WR
WR Grady O'Neill 12 rec · 148 yds · 1 TD #103 WR
DB Ishmel Atkins 7 tkl · 4 PD #254 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Kennesaw State OwlsCUSA +0.2 -1.4 +1.7 #170
Sam Houston BearkatsCUSA -5.4 -4.3 -1.1 #248

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Kennesaw State offense vs Sam Houston defense-0.3 pts
Sam Houston offense vs Kennesaw State defense-5.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 680 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.