← Matchups

Dickinson (PA)

· 0-1 · power -11.3 · #312

Our numberDICK -7.1 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Davidson

· 1-2 · power -20.9 · #381

Final DICK 14 · DAV 28 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineDICK to win logged ours 35%

Our number: DICK by 24.2 — DICK to win.

Projected score 31–24 DICK – DAV

2026-09-12 · 12:00 PM Richardson Stadium (Davidson, NC) · Davidson, NC Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Davidson Wildcats Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Dickinson (PA) Red Devils

DL Jimmy Mulholland 9 tkl #11 DL

DL Marco Kaufman 9 tkl · 1.0 TFL #243 DL

DL Ellington Roane 7 tkl #375 DL

DL Juan Pablo Garcia 11 tkl #454 DL

Davidson Wildcats

WR Jacary Lightsey 24 rec · 233 yds · 1 TD #50 WR

DL Danzel Chukwuemeka 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #200 DL

DL Jarmal Gilmore 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #223 DL

TE Jack Perozek 7 rec · 62 yds · 1 TD #51 TE

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Dickinson (PA) Red Devils	-11.3	-8.6	-2.8	#312
Davidson Wildcats	-20.9	-8.4	-12.5	#381

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Dickinson (PA) offense vs Davidson defense+4.0 pts

Davidson offense vs Dickinson (PA) defense-5.6 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.