← Matchups

Rio Grande

· power +0.0 · #184

Our numberRIO -10.6 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Duquesne

· 0-2 · power -13.0 · #329

Our side

MoneylineRIO to win ours 28%

Projected score 34–23 RIO – DUQ

2026-09-26 · 12:00 PM Arthur J. Rooney Athletic Field · Pittsburgh, PA Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Duquesne Dukes Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Rio Grande Red Storm

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Duquesne Dukes

DL Nico Pate 10 tkl #337 DL

DB Caleb Jones 12 tkl · 1 PD #379 DB

LB Luke Miller 15 tkl #349 LB

LB Zach Chambers 14 tkl #405 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Rio Grande Red Storm	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0	#184
Duquesne Dukes	-13.0	-6.2	-6.8	#329

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Rio Grande offense vs Duquesne defense+6.8 pts

Duquesne offense vs Rio Grande defense-6.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.