Yale
· power +4.7 · #126
Our numberYALE -9.0
no book has priced this game
Pennsylvania
· power -6.7 · #260
Our side
MoneylineYALE to win
ours 29%
Projected score
33–24
YALE – PENN
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Yale lead
45–24–1
· 70 meetings since 1879
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Yale Bulldogs
56 ranks
Yale Bulldogs #134 rush offense
Pennsylvania Quakers #190 run defense
Pass game
edge Yale Bulldogs
109 ranks
Yale Bulldogs #64 pass offense
Pennsylvania Quakers #173 pass defense
Run game
edge Yale Bulldogs
103 ranks
Pennsylvania Quakers #147 rush offense
Yale Bulldogs #44 run defense
Pass game
even
20 ranks apart
Pennsylvania Quakers #84 pass offense
Yale Bulldogs #104 pass defense
Yale Bulldogs
Run-heavy · 63% run
Avg pace
Pennsylvania Quakers
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 55 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Power breakdown
| Team | Power | Off | Def | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yale Bulldogs |
+4.7 | +1.8 | +2.9 | #126 |
| Pennsylvania Quakers |
-6.7 | -1.4 | -5.3 | #260 |
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Yale offense vs Pennsylvania defense+7.1 pts
Pennsylvania offense vs Yale defense-4.3 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.