Our side
MoneylineJXST to win
ours 54%
Projected score
25–28
FIU – JXST
2026-10-13 · 8:00 PM
AmFirst Stadium · Jacksonville, AL
CUSA game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Jacksonville State lead
3–1
· 4 meetings since 2020
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
37 ranks apart
Florida International Panthers #69 rush offense
Jacksonville State Gamecocks #106 run defense
Pass game
edge Jacksonville State Gamecocks
53 ranks
Florida International Panthers #162 pass offense
Jacksonville State Gamecocks #109 pass defense
Run game
edge Jacksonville State Gamecocks
91 ranks
Jacksonville State Gamecocks #48 rush offense
Florida International Panthers #139 run defense
Pass game
even
15 ranks apart
Jacksonville State Gamecocks #156 pass offense
Florida International Panthers #171 pass defense
Florida International Panthers
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Run-heavy · 68% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 83 rush ypg
Willie Simmons · 7-6
Charles Kelly · 9-5
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Florida International Panthers
DL
Elisha Baldridge
11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#26 DL
WR
Maguire Anderson
13 rec · 186 yds · 2 TD
#34 WR
DL
DeeJay Holmes Jr.
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#81 DL
WR
Jojo Stone
9 rec · 141 yds · 1 TD
#146 WR
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
DB
Caleb Nix
18 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#18 DB
DL
Tae Floyd
12 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL
#41 DL
WR
Jamill Williams
14 rec · 188 yds · 4 TD
#33 WR
QB
Caden Creel
677 pass yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
#18 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Florida International offense vs Jacksonville State defense-3.3 pts
Jacksonville State offense vs Florida International defense-3.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 644 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.