← Matchups

Liberty

CUSA · 1-1 · power +2.6 · #144
Our numberKENN -0.8 no book has priced this game

Kennesaw State

CUSA · 1-1 · power +0.2 · #170
Our side
MoneylineLIB to win ours 49%
Projected score 24–25 LIB – KENN
2026-10-22 · 7:00 PM Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium · Kennesaw, GA CUSA game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Kennesaw State lead 3–2 · 5 meetings since 2015
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Liberty Flames 156 ranks
Liberty Flames #55 rush offense Kennesaw State Owls #211 run defense
Pass game edge Kennesaw State Owls 60 ranks
Liberty Flames #171 pass offense Kennesaw State Owls #111 pass defense
Run game edge Kennesaw State Owls 59 ranks
Kennesaw State Owls #151 rush offense Liberty Flames #210 run defense
Pass game edge Kennesaw State Owls 51 ranks
Kennesaw State Owls #62 pass offense Liberty Flames #113 pass defense
Liberty Flames Run-heavy · 66% run Avg pace Kennesaw State Owls Run-heavy · 59% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Jamey Chadwell · 64-35 Jerry Mack · 10-4

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Liberty Flames
WR Makai Jackson 5 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD #139 WR
DB Jiquavious Marshall 7 tkl · 4 PD #222 DB
DL Nathan Pirolli 8 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #305 DL
LB Derrell Farrar 12 tkl · 1.5 TFL #247 LB
Kennesaw State Owls
QB Rickie Collins 416 pass yds · 2 TD · 1 INT #50 QB
DL Ugonna Nwoha 3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #315 DL
DL Marcus Patterson 9 tkl · 1.5 TFL #450 DL
RB Latrelle Murrell 100 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec #183 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Liberty FlamesCUSA +2.6 -3.3 +5.9 #144
Kennesaw State OwlsCUSA +0.2 -1.4 +1.7 #170

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Liberty offense vs Kennesaw State defense-4.9 pts
Kennesaw State offense vs Liberty defense-7.3 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 6 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.