← Matchups

Florida International

CUSA · 1-1 · power +5.3 · #119
Our numberFIU -1.0 no book has priced this game

Liberty

CUSA · 1-1 · power +2.6 · #144
Our side
MoneylineFIU to win ours 48%
Projected score 25–24 FIU – LIB
2026-10-31 · 3:30 PM Williams Stadium (VA) · Lynchburg, VA CUSA game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Liberty lead 3–1 · 4 meetings since 2020
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Florida International Panthers 141 ranks
Florida International Panthers #69 rush offense Liberty Flames #210 run defense
Pass game edge Liberty Flames 49 ranks
Florida International Panthers #162 pass offense Liberty Flames #113 pass defense
Run game edge Liberty Flames 84 ranks
Liberty Flames #55 rush offense Florida International Panthers #139 run defense
Pass game even 0 ranks apart
Liberty Flames #171 pass offense Florida International Panthers #171 pass defense
Florida International Panthers Balanced · 56% run Ball-control Liberty Flames Run-heavy · 66% run Avg pace
Willie Simmons · 7-6 Jamey Chadwell · 64-35

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Florida International Panthers
DL Elisha Baldridge 11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #26 DL
WR Maguire Anderson 13 rec · 186 yds · 2 TD #34 WR
DL DeeJay Holmes Jr. 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #81 DL
WR Jojo Stone 9 rec · 141 yds · 1 TD #146 WR
Liberty Flames
WR Makai Jackson 5 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD #139 WR
DB Jiquavious Marshall 7 tkl · 4 PD #222 DB
DL Nathan Pirolli 8 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #305 DL
LB Derrell Farrar 12 tkl · 1.5 TFL #247 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Florida International PanthersCUSA +5.3 -0.2 +5.5 #119
Liberty FlamesCUSA +2.6 -3.3 +5.9 #144

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Florida International offense vs Liberty defense-6.1 pts
Liberty offense vs Florida International defense-8.8 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 805 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.