← Matchups

Jacksonville State

CUSA · 1-2 · power +5.2 · #123
Our numberDEL -5.1 no book has priced this game

Delaware

CUSA · 1-1 · power +7.6 · #95
Our side
MoneylineDEL to win ours 60%
Projected score 25–30 JXST – DEL
2026-11-28 · 3:30 PM Delaware Stadium · Newark, DE CUSA game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Delaware and Jacksonville State split 2 (1–1) · 2 meetings since 2020
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Jacksonville State Gamecocks 178 ranks
Jacksonville State Gamecocks #48 rush offense Delaware Blue Hens #226 run defense
Pass game even 18 ranks apart
Jacksonville State Gamecocks #156 pass offense Delaware Blue Hens #174 pass defense
Run game edge Jacksonville State Gamecocks 95 ranks
Delaware Blue Hens #201 rush offense Jacksonville State Gamecocks #106 run defense
Pass game even 13 ranks apart
Delaware Blue Hens #122 pass offense Jacksonville State Gamecocks #109 pass defense
Jacksonville State Gamecocks Run-heavy · 68% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 83 rush ypg Delaware Blue Hens Balanced · 44% run Avg pace
Charles Kelly · 9-5 Ryan Carty · 7-6 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
DB Caleb Nix 18 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #18 DB
DL Tae Floyd 12 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL #41 DL
WR Jamill Williams 14 rec · 188 yds · 4 TD #33 WR
QB Caden Creel 677 pass yds · 6 TD · 2 INT #18 QB
Delaware Blue Hens
LB Colin Gallagher 13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #46 LB
WR Da'Wain Lofton 7 rec · 206 yds · 1 TD #85 WR
RB Kaderris Roberts 27 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec #109 RB
LB Gavin Moul 16 tkl · 0.5 TFL #188 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Jacksonville State GamecocksCUSA +5.2 +2.1 +3.1 #123
Delaware Blue HensCUSA +7.6 +6.8 +0.8 #95

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Jacksonville State offense vs Delaware defense+1.3 pts
Delaware offense vs Jacksonville State defense+3.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 685 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.