Our side
MoneylineDEL to win
ours 57%
Projected score
23–30
MOST – DEL
2026-10-20 · 7:00 PM
Delaware Stadium · Newark, DE
CUSA game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
39 ranks apart
Missouri State Bears #187 rush offense
Delaware Blue Hens #226 run defense
Pass game
edge Missouri State Bears
84 ranks
Missouri State Bears #90 pass offense
Delaware Blue Hens #174 pass defense
Run game
even
9 ranks apart
Delaware Blue Hens #201 rush offense
Missouri State Bears #192 run defense
Pass game
edge Delaware Blue Hens
78 ranks
Delaware Blue Hens #122 pass offense
Missouri State Bears #200 pass defense
Missouri State Bears
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
Delaware Blue Hens
Balanced · 44% run
Avg pace
Ryan Beard · 7-5 · offense-minded
Ryan Carty · 7-6 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Missouri State Bears
LB
Jared Lloyd
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#39 LB
DB
Joel Boamah
8 tkl · 3 PD
#197 DB
WR
Isaiah Myers
5 rec · 155 yds · 1 TD
#141 WR
DB
Anthony Mattison
6 tkl · 1 PD
#367 DB
Delaware Blue Hens
LB
Colin Gallagher
13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#46 LB
WR
Da'Wain Lofton
7 rec · 206 yds · 1 TD
#85 WR
RB
Kaderris Roberts
27 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec
#109 RB
LB
Gavin Moul
16 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#188 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Missouri State offense vs Delaware defense+3.2 pts
Delaware offense vs Missouri State defense+4.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 962 mi
Altitude · context only373 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.