Our side
MoneylineFIU to win
ours 51%
Projected score
25–26
MOST – FIU
2026-11-07 · 4:00 PM
Pitbull Stadium · Miami, FL
CUSA game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Missouri State lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2025
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Florida International Panthers
48 ranks
Missouri State Bears #187 rush offense
Florida International Panthers #139 run defense
Pass game
edge Missouri State Bears
81 ranks
Missouri State Bears #90 pass offense
Florida International Panthers #171 pass defense
Run game
edge Florida International Panthers
123 ranks
Florida International Panthers #69 rush offense
Missouri State Bears #192 run defense
Pass game
even
38 ranks apart
Florida International Panthers #162 pass offense
Missouri State Bears #200 pass defense
Missouri State Bears
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
Florida International Panthers
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
Ryan Beard · 7-5 · offense-minded
Willie Simmons · 7-6
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Missouri State Bears
LB
Jared Lloyd
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#39 LB
DB
Joel Boamah
8 tkl · 3 PD
#197 DB
WR
Isaiah Myers
5 rec · 155 yds · 1 TD
#141 WR
DB
Anthony Mattison
6 tkl · 1 PD
#367 DB
Florida International Panthers
DL
Elisha Baldridge
11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#26 DL
WR
Maguire Anderson
13 rec · 186 yds · 2 TD
#34 WR
DL
DeeJay Holmes Jr.
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#81 DL
WR
Jojo Stone
9 rec · 141 yds · 1 TD
#146 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Missouri State offense vs Florida International defense-1.6 pts
Florida International offense vs Missouri State defense-2.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,095 mi
Altitude · context only400 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
Rest · context onlyAway team on 4 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.