Our side
MoneylineDEL to win
ours 35%
Projected score
31–23
DEL – NMSU
2026-11-21 · 3:00 PM
Aggie Memorial Stadium · Las Cruces, NM
CUSA game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge New Mexico State Aggies
161 ranks
Delaware Blue Hens #201 rush offense
New Mexico State Aggies #40 run defense
Pass game
even
19 ranks apart
Delaware Blue Hens #122 pass offense
New Mexico State Aggies #141 pass defense
Run game
even
36 ranks apart
New Mexico State Aggies #262 rush offense
Delaware Blue Hens #226 run defense
Pass game
even
17 ranks apart
New Mexico State Aggies #191 pass offense
Delaware Blue Hens #174 pass defense
Delaware Blue Hens
Balanced · 44% run
Avg pace
New Mexico State Aggies
Balanced · 47% run
Avg pace
Ryan Carty · 7-6 · offense-minded
Tony Sanchez · 27-57 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Delaware Blue Hens
LB
Colin Gallagher
13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#46 LB
WR
Da'Wain Lofton
7 rec · 206 yds · 1 TD
#85 WR
RB
Kaderris Roberts
27 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec
#109 RB
LB
Gavin Moul
16 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#188 LB
New Mexico State Aggies
DB
Nick Session
21 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#19 DB
DL
Gabe Peterson
13 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#63 DL
WR
TK King
14 rec · 239 yds · 2 TD
#48 WR
RB
James Jones
243 rush yds · 2 TD · 4 rec
#43 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Delaware offense vs New Mexico State defense+6.7 pts
New Mexico State offense vs Delaware defense-1.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,796 mi
Altitude · context only1,179 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.