Our side
MoneylineFIU to win
ours 78%
Projected score
19–32
SHSU – FIU
2026-11-28 · 2:00 PM
Pitbull Stadium · Miami, FL
CUSA game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Florida International lead
2–1
· 3 meetings since 2023
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
13 ranks apart
Sam Houston Bearkats #152 rush offense
Florida International Panthers #139 run defense
Pass game
edge Florida International Panthers
88 ranks
Sam Houston Bearkats #259 pass offense
Florida International Panthers #171 pass defense
Run game
edge Florida International Panthers
138 ranks
Florida International Panthers #69 rush offense
Sam Houston Bearkats #207 run defense
Pass game
edge Florida International Panthers
78 ranks
Florida International Panthers #162 pass offense
Sam Houston Bearkats #240 pass defense
Sam Houston Bearkats
Balanced · 50% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 39 rush ypg
Florida International Panthers
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
Phil Longo · 2-10
Willie Simmons · 7-6
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Sam Houston Bearkats
DL
Brody Henderson
11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#94 DL
WR
Chris Reed
7 rec · 145 yds · 2 TD
#94 WR
WR
Grady O'Neill
12 rec · 148 yds · 1 TD
#103 WR
DB
Ishmel Atkins
7 tkl · 4 PD
#254 DB
Florida International Panthers
DL
Elisha Baldridge
11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#26 DL
WR
Maguire Anderson
13 rec · 186 yds · 2 TD
#34 WR
DL
DeeJay Holmes Jr.
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#81 DL
WR
Jojo Stone
9 rec · 141 yds · 1 TD
#146 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Sam Houston offense vs Florida International defense-9.8 pts
Florida International offense vs Sam Houston defense+0.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 984 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.