Our side
MoneylineUSA to win
ours 80%
Projected score
20–32
ULM – USA
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD
Hancock Whitney Stadium · Mobile, AL
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
South Alabama lead
7–5
· 12 meetings since 2012
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
12 ranks apart
UL Monroe Warhawks #204 rush offense
South Alabama Jaguars #216 run defense
Pass game
edge UL Monroe Warhawks
79 ranks
UL Monroe Warhawks #137 pass offense
South Alabama Jaguars #216 pass defense
Run game
even
27 ranks apart
South Alabama Jaguars #92 rush offense
UL Monroe Warhawks #119 run defense
Pass game
edge South Alabama Jaguars
72 ranks
South Alabama Jaguars #127 pass offense
UL Monroe Warhawks #199 pass defense
UL Monroe Warhawks
Run-heavy · 61% run
Ball-control
South Alabama Jaguars
Run-heavy · 64% run
Avg pace
Bryant Vincent · 15-22
Major Applewhite · 26-25 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
UL Monroe Warhawks
DB
Jabari Tiller
18 tkl · 1 PD
#116 DB
DB
Carl Fauntroy
12 tkl · 1 INT
#119 DB
LB
Noah Flemmings
20 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#137 LB
DL
Kevontay Wells
5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#438 DL
South Alabama Jaguars
WR
Brendan Jenkins
14 rec · 197 yds · 2 TD
#25 WR
RB
PJ Martin
142 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec
#59 RB
QB
Bishop Davenport
450 pass yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
#34 QB
K
Davis Little
4 FG · 7 XP · 19 pts
#39 K
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
UL Monroe offense vs South Alabama defense-5.8 pts
South Alabama offense vs UL Monroe defense+6.0 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.