Our side
MoneylineTROY to win
ours 52%
Projected score
26–26
USM – TROY
2026-10-06 · 8:00 PM
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) · Troy, AL
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Troy lead
6–3
· 9 meetings since 1977
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
28 ranks apart
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #137 rush offense
Troy Trojans #109 run defense
Pass game
even
27 ranks apart
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #91 pass offense
Troy Trojans #64 pass defense
Run game
edge Southern Miss Golden Eagles
46 ranks
Troy Trojans #226 rush offense
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #180 run defense
Pass game
edge Southern Miss Golden Eagles
151 ranks
Troy Trojans #187 pass offense
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #36 pass defense
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Troy Trojans
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Charles Huff · 39-25
Gerad Parker · 12-20 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
RB
Steven Robinson
174 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#37 RB
DB
Kobi Albert
7 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
#87 DB
DB
Laquan Robinson
17 tkl · 1 PD
#192 DB
LB
Mathis Haygood
15 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#133 LB
Troy Trojans
DL
Keno Jones
13 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#22 DL
DB
Donnie Smith
9 tkl · 1 PD
#63 DB
WR
TK Keyes
7 rec · 167 yds · 2 TD
#109 WR
RB
Jaheim Merriweather
149 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#79 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Southern Miss offense vs Troy defense-2.3 pts
Troy offense vs Southern Miss defense-3.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.