← Matchups

Louisiana Tech

CUSA · 1-1 · power +3.9 · #134
Our numberLT -8.3 no book has priced this game

UL Monroe

SBC · 0-2 · power -4.2 · #234
Our side
MoneylineLT to win ours 35%
Projected score 31–22 LT – ULM
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD Malone Stadium · Monroe, LA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Louisiana Tech lead 12–3 · 15 meetings since 1975
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 13 ranks apart
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #106 rush offense UL Monroe Warhawks #119 run defense
Pass game even 21 ranks apart
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #178 pass offense UL Monroe Warhawks #199 pass defense
Run game edge Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 158 ranks
UL Monroe Warhawks #204 rush offense Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #46 run defense
Pass game edge Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 81 ranks
UL Monroe Warhawks #137 pass offense Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #56 pass defense
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Run-heavy · 67% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 32 rush ypg UL Monroe Warhawks Run-heavy · 61% run Ball-control
Sonny Cumbie · 21-34 · defense-minded Bryant Vincent · 15-22

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
LB Alonzo Jackson Jr. 16 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL #2 LB
DB Jordan McRae 12 tkl · 1 INT #15 DB
WR Jalen Mickens 9 rec · 234 yds · 2 TD #41 WR
DB Sam Fongang 15 tkl #141 DB
UL Monroe Warhawks
DB Jabari Tiller 18 tkl · 1 PD #116 DB
DB Carl Fauntroy 12 tkl · 1 INT #119 DB
LB Noah Flemmings 20 tkl · 0.5 TFL #137 LB
DL Kevontay Wells 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #438 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Louisiana Tech BulldogsCUSA +3.9 +4.1 -0.2 #134
UL Monroe WarhawksSBC -4.2 -3.9 -0.4 #234

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Louisiana Tech offense vs UL Monroe defense+4.5 pts
UL Monroe offense vs Louisiana Tech defense-3.6 pts
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.