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Old Dominion

SBC · 1-1 · power +9.3 · #90
Our numberODU -3.2 no book has priced this game

Louisiana Tech

CUSA · 1-1 · power +3.9 · #134
Our side
MoneylineODU to win ours 42%
Projected score 29–26 ODU – LT
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD Joe Aillet Stadium · Ruston, LA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Old Dominion lead 2–0 · 2 meetings since 2014
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 27 ranks apart
Old Dominion Monarchs #73 rush offense Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #46 run defense
Pass game even 9 ranks apart
Old Dominion Monarchs #47 pass offense Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #56 pass defense
Run game edge Old Dominion Monarchs 81 ranks
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #106 rush offense Old Dominion Monarchs #25 run defense
Pass game edge Old Dominion Monarchs 165 ranks
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #178 pass offense Old Dominion Monarchs #13 pass defense
Old Dominion Monarchs Run-heavy · 61% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 84 rush ypg Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Run-heavy · 67% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 32 rush ypg
Ricky Rahne · 30-33 Sonny Cumbie · 21-34 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Old Dominion Monarchs
DL Javen Gibson 7 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #66 DL
DB Lucas Struck 11 tkl · 3 PD #92 DB
LB Mario Thompson 19 tkl · 1.0 TFL #79 LB
QB Quinn Henicle 324 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT #46 QB
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
LB Alonzo Jackson Jr. 16 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL #2 LB
DB Jordan McRae 12 tkl · 1 INT #15 DB
WR Jalen Mickens 9 rec · 234 yds · 2 TD #41 WR
DB Sam Fongang 15 tkl #141 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Old Dominion MonarchsSBC +9.3 +1.2 +8.0 #90
Louisiana Tech BulldogsCUSA +3.9 +4.1 -0.2 #134

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Old Dominion offense vs Louisiana Tech defense+1.5 pts
Louisiana Tech offense vs Old Dominion defense-3.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 975 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.